Live Market State
Computed live from latest fetched prices — updates immediately after any data fetch. Same computation as end-of-day pipeline.
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Actionable Signals
VIX peak reversal, breadth thrust, sector rotation, haven flow — detected from latest pipeline run
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Macro Regime Timeline
What is "Regime": The overall market mood — risk-on (bullish), risk-off (bearish), transition, or crisis. Computed from VIX, breadth, momentum, and cross-asset signals. Score ranges from -1 (full bearish) to +1 (full bullish). Breadth % = how many sector ETFs trade above their 20-day average (70%+ = broad rally, 30%- = broad selloff). How to use: Green bars = safe to be bullish. Red bars = defensive or bearish. VIX spike + score drop = avoid new longs. Data: requires evening pipeline run — each run adds one day.
Sector Rotation Heatmap
Daily returns for 15 sector ETFs (11 SPDR + SMH, IGV, KRE, XHB). Green = up, red = down. How to read: Diagonal green streaks = sustained sector rally. Red clusters = sector rotation out. Compare rows to spot which sectors are leading/lagging — tilt strategies toward leaders. Data: reads from prices.db (OHLCV fetch), no pipeline needed.
Cross-Asset Correlation
Z-score
+2Well above average
0Period average
−2Well below average
SPYVIXGLDTLTRegimeMeaning
↑↓↓Risk-onClassic bull — no hedging needed
↑↓↑ReflationGrowth + inflation hedge
↑↑↑Melt-upSqueeze / euphoria with rising fear
↑↑↓Nervous rallyUp on low conviction
↓↑↑Fear tradeFlight to safety
↓↑↓↓Liquidity crisisEverything sold for cash — SPY+GLD+TLT all down
↓↑↓↑Cash rotationEquities sold, rotating to bonds — not full crisis
↓↓↑Controlled dipOrderly pullback, no panic
↓↓↓ComplacentDrifting down, no fear yet
VIX / GLD Correlation
··· 5d fastEarly warning (~3 day lag)
--- 20d slowTrend confirmation (~10 day lag)
● Positive (co-moving)VIX + GLD both rising — stress indicator
● Negative (diverging)Normal — VIX falling while GLD rising or vice versa
Market Breadth
What is breadth: % of 15 sector ETFs (11 SPDR + SMH, IGV, KRE, XHB) currently trading above their own 20-day moving average. It measures how wide a rally or selloff is — not just whether SPY is up, but whether most sectors are participating. Data: computed from sector OHLCV prices during evening pipeline run.
ReadingMeaningAction
> 70%Broad advance — most sectors upSafe to go long
30–70%Mixed — selective participationBe selective, favor leaders
< 30%Broad decline — most sectors failingDefensive / bearish
Chart Signals (labels above chart)
ThrustConfirmed — breadth crossed ≤40% → ≥60% in 5 days
Thrust ?Early warning — breadth rose 27+ pts in 3 days, not yet at 60%
CollapseConfirmed — breadth crossed ≥60% → ≤40% in 5 days
Collapse ?Early warning — breadth fell 27+ pts in 3 days, not yet at 40%
VIX Buy!VIX crossed below 30 (was >30 in last 5d) — extreme fear subsiding
VIX BuyVIX crossed below 25 (was >25 in last 5d) + breadth > 30% — fear retreating
B+VIXBreadth > 70% + VIX > 20 — broad rally, fear still elevated (underpriced)
DivergeSPY 5d > +0.8% but breadth < 50% — narrow rally, fragile
StealthSPY 5d < −1% but breadth > 55% — stealth recovery
Consecutive labels = signal persists (duration matters). VIX uses raw value, not normalized.
Sector Relative Strength (Today vs Yesterday)
Daily return per sector ETF (15 sectors), ranked low to high. Dark bars = today, dim wide bars = yesterday. How to read: Green bars at top = sector leaders (bullish tilt for stocks in that sector). Red bars at bottom = sector laggards (avoid or go bearish). Wide spread = high dispersion (be selective). Compare today vs yesterday — sector flipping from red to green = rotation signal. Data: reads from prices.db, no pipeline needed.